A
Nigerian writer and columnist has penned a thought-provoking and
interesting piece concerning President Muhammadu Buhari for 2017. It's a
must read.
Buhari
Finally, we are in 2017. It is the year of fortune teller.
This year, President Muhammadu Buhari’s political future will be
determined. The fulfillment or failure of the promised change will be
the common factor.
But I think Buhari has a rare chance to improve his profile this 2017.
The capture of Sambisa forest by the Operation Lafiya Dole last
December is a good chance for the president to improve his ratings.
But so much more will need to be done to consolidate on the gain.
Unexpectedly, counterterrorism experts have counseled us to be cautiously optimistic about seeing the end of Boko Haram so soon.
I cannot disagree based on my personal findings about insurgency, a research of many years.
Oh, and of course the fact that despite the claim by the military
and the president that we’re seeing the end of Boko Haram militancy, the
inability of the government to rescue the remaining kidnapped Chibok
girls and a few comebacks we have seen of Boko Haram in Madagali,
Adamawa State, and in some part of Borno State placed a direct question
mark on the claim.
The president’s opportunity with the anti-corruption campaign is another rare good chance to repair his image.
With his anti-corruption czar, Ibrahim Magu, who heads the Economic
and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) under public scrutiny for
hobnobbing with someone being investigated for corrupt practices by the
commission is too serious to be ignored by Mr. President.
The documents in circulation about the rent payment for his upscale
mansion that costs $20 million a year by his good friend Air Commodore
Mohammed Umar, and his freebie junket on airplane belonging to the later
cannot be dismissed.
The president will do well to get rid of Magu with the New Year.
There are others in his cabinet that he can no longer keep, if he
must increase his gains with Nigerians. One of such is the Secretary to
the Federal Government, Babachir David Lawal.
Lawal has a reputation for arrogance and now he has added a badge
of corruption with a contract his company got from the Presidential
Initiative for the North East (PINE)
A Senate ad-hoc committee looking into the problems being faced by
of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) in the North east had accused the
SGF of several misdeeds including failing to account for N2.5 billion
PINE funds and awarding contracts to his friends and cronies, some of
whom turned around and paid kickbacks into his company’s accounts.
Honestly, the PINE fund is now another defence arms and equipment
procurement managed by ONSA under President Goodluck Jonathan. PINE is
another ground where vultures feast.
The next place where the chance is for Buhari is with his populist
agenda to pay the poor. That social spending, if properly managed
without scandal will help build a strong image for the president before
the election year.
But I have a concern. While we have been told that the N5,000
monthly payout is now reaching the hands of the beneficiaries, the
transparency around it needs more light. The goal of the government must
also be clear to the beneficiaries as social benefits cannot be a
lifetime for recipients.
In the United States where there are different types of social
benefits, those in different categories understand the limitations and
how things rotate from one generation to another.
For instance, once the government agency handling social benefits
calculates that you have appreciable income, then you’re automatically
replaced with another household with such need.
In Finland, where similar act is being carried out this year as a
pilot phase for the jobless in particular, the government is clear about
why unconditional money is being paid out to the unemployed.
The idea according to the government agency is to use the two-year
trial period of the scheme to eliminate the “disincentive problem” among
the unemployed.
The government of Finland hopes people without job will have
something in their hands to pursue job search and could pick up low-
paying jobs without fears “of losing out something.” Ultimately they
will climb from low-paying jobs to the high ones and become catalysts.
Behind that incentive is the truth that a jobless person in Finland
may refuse a low-income or short-term job for the simple fear of having
his financial benefits reduced drastically under Finland’s complex
social security system.
So the Finish government is doing something to stimulate the unemployed people to go out and seek for jobs.
Now, if the idea behind Nigeria’s social benefit is simply
political, it will run into a big ditch with no opportunity for Buhari
to take the advantage to improve his profile.
It’s debatable but rolling out a national programme without clear
coverage of all the states, even in a pilot phase is a precursor to
failure.
The argument that some states do not have social register begs the
issue for a programme that had been planned for implementation in the
last 20 months.
In fact, the payouts should have been left for the states to
managed using national fund with guiding rules or at best for each state
to come up with their resident rules.
I could go on, but I seriously think Buhari has the opportunity to
make the change happen this year with a robust economy and quick
delivery of his plan for a truly new Nigeria, before 2018 comes and the
hot wind of politics begins to blow.
About the Author:
Adeola Akinremi is a writer and columnist for ThisDay newspaper. Email: adeola.akinremi@thisdaylive.com
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